Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Prevails the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets in a row (if that is what your issue is asking) must be (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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